Review comments and approx score on Argument essays
Source: MGMAT CAT 1 and CAT 2
Here are 2 argument essays that I wrote. I would really appreciate some review comments and an approx score. I know how much of an effort this is and am expecting very short comments. May be overall 2-3 positive and 2-3 negative, all one-liners and an approx score on each essay. Thats it. Basically I want to know if I am well prepared for AWA or do I need to practice more. I am looking for a perfect 6.0 on the actual GMAT as I am not very confident about my verbal score and also because I am not a native english speaker and hence essays would play an imp role for me.
CAT Exam #1 A 5/26/2007
AWA ESSAYS: Analyze Argument
ESSAY QUESTION:
The following appeared in a corporate memorandum of a beverage manufacturer:
"Our promotional price reductions on energy drinks have been highly successful, as we have seen a dramatic increase in unit sales. Further, surveys of our consumers indicate that this promotion was favorably received by the majority of our customers. Therefore, to improve our company’s profitability and enhance its perception in the eyes of consumers, similar price reductions should be offered on all drinks produced by our firm."
Discuss how well reasoned you find this argument. Point out flaws in the argument's logic and analyze the argument's underlying assumptions. In addition, evaluate how supporting evidence is used and what evidence might counter the argument's conclusion. You may also discuss what additional evidence could be used to strengthen the argument or what changes would make the argument more logically sound.
YOUR RESPONSE:
Although at first glance it may seem logical, the argument that similar price reductions like the ones mentioned should be offered on all drinks manufactured by the company to enhance profitability as well as the image of the company, is not entirely convincing. On closer observation it is evident that the very logic of the argument is flawed owing to several crucial gaps in its line of resoning. The argument maked three crucial assumptions each of which need to be stated out loud in order to ensure soundness.
Firstly, the argument assumes that the promotional price reductions on energy drinks are the only cause for the increase in unit sales, or that the discounts at least serve as the overriding factor. Although price reductions are likely to have improved sales, it would be premature to term this correlation as a cause-effect relationship without sufficient evidence. It is possible that due to several other reasons such as poor distribution of competitors' products, effective advertising or introduction of new flavours are responsible for the increased sales; there is not enough support in the argument to make a claim that the price reductions are the only reason. The argument can be strengthened by including more details and specific examples to prove that the promotional price reductions can indeed take the major credit for enhanced revenues.
Secondly, if we give the argument the benefit of the doubt that the promotional price reductions are primary responsible for the increased sales, yet the argument never addresses the issue of the credibility of the survey that seems to indicate that price reductions have proven to be a welcome move for the consumers. No information has been provided regarding the authority conducting these surveys. Say, if the surveys have been conducted by employees of the same manufacturer, it is likely that the results have been manipulated to impress the top management. If the survey conducting authority is reputed and neutral such as Org-Marg or AC-Nielson, the results would be much more believable. Furthermore, there is no assurance that the majority of customers who seem to have welcomed the price reductions, would not have consumed the beverages in same quantity in spite of the original prices. In such a case, the profitability of the company has actually been harmed. The argument can be substantiated by stressing upon the reliability of the surveys indicating that the survey results indeed verify the addition of new customers, or at least an increase in consumption by the existing customers.
Finally, even after one might agree to the price reductions to be responsible for the increased sales and the survey to be reliable, the argument never takes into consideration the fact that the promotional campaign is responsible for increased sales, and may not help in improving profitability or uplifting the manufacturer's image. Increase in revenues and increase in profitability are entirely different expectations for a company, and neither has any strong correlation with a brand image face-lift. Moreover, the suggestion that similar reductions should be implemented on the other drinks manufactured by the company is misleading; it is likely that the margins for energy drinks were high enough to allow such discounts, but this may not be the case for the other drinks. The argument can be made more persuasive by mentioning sufficient details to justify the claim that such promotions would actually improve profitability and brand image; and also by stating that the situation of energy drinks and that of other drinks is indeed analogous when it comes to discounts.
Consequently, based on the assumptions mentioned above, the argument as it stands is not entirely sound. The evidence given in the argument i.e. an assumed cause-effect relationship and some random survey, is able to provide only a feeble support to the conclusion i.e. such promotional price reductions should be applied to other beverages manufactured by the company. The argument can be strengthened by explicitly stating each of the assumptions listed above. More details regarding the correlation between the discounts and increased sales, reliability of the survey as well as comparison between energy drinks and other beverages would help better evaluate the conclusion. As of now, the management is ill-advised.
CAT Exam #2 A 5/31/2007
AWA ESSAYS: Analyze Argument
ESSAY QUESTION:
The following appeared as part of a campaign statement for Velazquez, who is seeking election as alderman in the town of Barchester:
"Under Police Commissioner Draco, the city of Spartanburg began jailing people for committing petty crimes such as littering, shoplifting, and spraying graffiti. Criminals in Spartanburg must have understood that lawlessness would no longer be tolerated, because the following year Spartanburg saw a 20% drop in violent crimes such as homicide. Our town should learn from Commissioner Draco’s success, and begin a large-scale crackdown on petty crime."
Discuss how well reasoned you find this argument. In your discussion be sure to analyze the line of reasoning and the use of evidence in the argument. For example, you may need to consider what questionable assumptions underlie the thinking and what alternative explanations or counterexamples might weaken the conclusion. You can also discuss what sort of evidence would strengthen or refute the argument, what changes in the argument would make it more logically sound, and what, if anything, would help you better evaluate its conclusion.
YOUR RESPONSE:
Although at first glance it seems logical, the argument that the town of Barchester should adopt the law enforcement policies practised in the town of Spartanburg owing to their assumed success in the latter, is not entirely convincing. On closer observation it is evident that the very logic of the argument is flawed owing to several crucial gaps in its line of reasoning. The argument makes two broad assumptions each of which need to be stated out load in order to ensure soundness.
Firstly, the argument falsely assumes a mere correlation between the severity of punishment for petty crimes such as littering, shoplifting and spraying graffiti, and the decrease in serious crimes such as homicide to be a cause-effect relationship. A simultaneous decline in both types of crimes could very well be nothing more than a coincidence. Even if we give the argument the benefit of the doubt that it is indeed the crackdown on petty crimes that helped reduce the more serious crimes, it would be illogical to assume that the crackdown is the only cause, or even the ovverriding factor. It is likely that several other reasons could be eligible for majority of the credit for improvement in the law and order situation. An improvement in the economic situation of the town leading to a rise in employment levels would help reduce crimes such as theft. Strict measures to ensure against drug abuse would lower associated crimes such as homicide. Better salaries in already existing jobs would also serve to increase the general well being and satisfaction of the residents. Small changes such as construction of parks and places of entertainment serve to keep youth from wandering into gangs and associated crime. Such factors tend to play a much bigger role than merely reducing petty crime. The argument can be made more compelling by providing further details and an in depth analysis to justify that it is indeed the commissioner's efforts to reduce petty crimes that are truely responsible for the reduction in more serious crime. Currently, there appears to be a severe lack of support in the argument to make such a claim.
Secondly, Mr. Velazquez fails to address the issue that the situation in the town of Barchester may not be analogous to that in Spartanburg, or for that matter not even comparable. Even if one agrees to the claim that strict measures to control petty crime have brought about a significant reduction in more serious law violations, we cannot assume that the same cause-effect relationship would apply to an entirely different town. What if the administrative resources at the disposal of the town of Barchester such as judiciary, jail facilities etc. are not as vast as those available to the town of Spartanburg? What if the sheer number of law enforcement agents per 1000 citizens is much lower? In case of such scenarious it is highly misleading to assume that a large scale crackdown on petty crimes would improve the law and order situation in Barchester as well. The argument can be made more persuasive by adding that the law and order situation in Barchester is indeed comparable to that in Spartanburg. Such a comparision can be justified only if the agencies in both town are equally capable and also the prevailing crime rates in both towns do not vary widely. Even the sheer number of people living in the towns and available economic as well as social opportunities must be reasonably similar to justify such a comparison.
Consequently, based on the assumptions stated, the argument as it stands is not entirely logical. The evidence mentioned in the argument i.e. crackdown on petty crimes has solved more serious problems in Spartanburg, is able to provide only a feeble support to the conclusion i.e. such a crackdown would serve the same purpose in Barchester. The argument can be strengthened by explicitly stating each of the assumptions listed above. As of now, the administrative machinery of the town of Barchester is ill-advised.