by ohthatpatrick Mon Jul 31, 2017 6:46 pm
There were some juicy upfront inferences available on this game, so this question goes speedily if we picked up on those.
V - O - M - F
...\
.....T
From that relative ordering tree, we know that V is first, O/T is second, O/M/T is third, M/T is fourth, and F/T is fifth.
We only get 1 premium, and
2nd = 3rd, (those can't be p)
and
the car before M and M both get r's.
Do we know that the 2nd/3rd match can't be p.
Can it be 's' or does it need to be r?
If we picture trying to do something where 2nd/3rd is 's', it could look something like
p - s - s - r - r
The problem is ... where is M?
M has to be 3rd or 4th. Either one of those would violate this p-s-s-r-r sequence.
Since M is going to be 3rd or 4th, we know we'll either have
V, O, M, T/F, F/T
or
V, O/T, T/O, M, F
In both cases, let's add (r) to M, and add (r) to the car immediately before M.
V, O(r), M(r), T/F, F/T
or
V, O/T, T/O(r), M(r), F
Since 2nd = 3rd, we can even update the bottom frame here to be
V, O/T(r), T/O(r), M(r), F
Since we know we need a super wash but it can't be 1st, and we know we need exactly one premium, we know the bottom frame has to be
V(p), O/T(r), T/O(r), M(r), F(s)
Because of these frames (the two possible spots for M), we learn that the 2nd wash will always be regular.
(A) doesn't have to be true in the first frame: V, O(r), M(r), T/F, F/T
V could be 'r' in that frame.
(B) Not true in our second frame. V(p), O/T(r), T/O(r), M(r), F(s)
(C) Doesn't need to be true in the first frame: V, O(r), M(r), T/F, F/T
5th car could be 'r' or 'p' in that frame.
(D) Not true in our second frame. V(p), O/T(r), T/O(r), M(r), F(s)
Hope this helps.