ohthatpatrick Wrote:The quickest way to dismiss (C) is just thinking yourself:
Relative vs. Absolute
We don't care how Plant A and B compare in absolute terms.
The curious fact is just about why Plant A increased during the the month in question,
whereas Plant B did not.
It doesn't matter whether, at the beginning of the month, Plant A was more productive / less productive / equally productive in comparison to Plant B.
This argument only cares about
Plant A beginning of month vs. end of month
and
Plant B beginning of month vs. end of month
You wouldn't be able to turn (C) into "no cause, no effect", because how you do you know whether or not there was "no effect"?
You know that the cause was absent (i.e. Plant A was not giving out free nutritious breakfasts before this study), but how do you know if the effect was absent? Maybe Plant A did still increase its productivity that month.
It could be like this
2 months ago:
A < B
1 month ago
A = B
This month
A > B
Maybe Plant A has been improving for months, it finally tied Plant B in the month before the study, and now apparently has surpassed Plant B.
That could actually WEAKEN the idea that the breakfast was the causal difference maker (because Plant A's productivity was already increasing before the free breakfast arrived).
Meanwhile, (A) gives us "no cause, no effect", because it lets us know that for Plant B,
(most) did not have nutritious breakfast, and productivity did not increase.
Thank you so much for this! I see why C is wrong. Regarding A, I actually eliminated it because it said "few" and therefore it's not entirely NO cause? Doesn't few mean appx. 3?
Was it wrong for me to interpret A as "some cause, no effect?"