Hi!
This one is a lot to get into before I've had my coffee but here goes
First off, I wouldn't call the first premise a "most" statement. As you noted, it uses "likely" which is a probability indicator, but "likely" doesn't technically establish "more likely than not" which is the threshold for "most." I would equate "likely" to "many" and "often" which both fall a bit shy of that threshold.
When I have an iffy quantifier like this, I'll typically treat it as
part of a condition, rather than as the conditional logic linking word. So, instead of AA --m--> C, I'll diagram AA --> C with the understanding that C = "likely to feel comfortable." Does that make sense? Rather than trying to wrestle an unruly quantifier into the "totality box" or the "most box," I'll just let it be what it is and live in the condition itself.
Now, you know as well as I do that this argument hinges on the illegal reversal of the first premise. Because this is an ID the Flaw question, the correct answer could be phrased in one of three ways:
- As an assumption the argument makes
- As an objection the argument overlooks
- As a famous flaw call-out
Take a moment and try to prephrase an answer that follows each of those three formats. Don't read ahead until you do so! (If that's challenging for you, keep at it! Take a set of Flaw questions from your homework and do this for every question.)
Here's my take:
Assumption - The argument presumes that one is
only likely to feel comfortable approaching a stranger of the same approximate age.
Objection - The argument overlooks the possibility that one may be equally comfortable approaching a stranger who is
not of the same approximate age.
Famous Flaw - The argument treats a sufficient condition as though it is a necessary condition.
Now, why did I want you to do that? Because when you talked about (E), you talked about it as though it were an Assumption answer, but in fact, it's an Objection answer. "Fails to consider," "fails to address," "overlooks the possibility that," ... these are all phrases which alert you to the fact that the answer is raising a possible objection to the argument. When you see these intro phrases, look at what follows and ask yourself "is this a good objection to the argument?" If it is, you've found a winner.
So, is (E) a good objection to the argument? Absolutely. The argument never addresses the likelihood of feeling comfortable approaching a stranger of a different age. We know folks are likely to be comfortable when the stranger is the same age, but we don't know anything about whether they're comfortable in other circumstances. It would have been easier to pick if it had matched my Objection prephrase, but it addresses the same gap in reasoning: the Illegal Reversal.
Hope this helps!