My concern with the way you worded your question is that you're under the impression that we're supposed to be able to predict this answer. I think Matt's post may have confused you by saying that (D) contradicts something that the argument is assuming.
That is true, but you shouldn't be thinking to yourself, "I should have been able to predict that ahead of time!" nor should you be thinking that THE assumption the argument makes is that there are some sources of volcanic boulders to the north. It is AN assumption the author makes, but potentially one of many.
There are plenty of LSAT arguments in which we see author's essentially doing "idea math" ... adding up one or two premises to try and reach a faulty conclusion, and in those arguments there's often just ONE missing piece/missing connection.
However, there are also PLENTY of arguments in which you're really dealing with something fuzzier like a prediction, or causality, or a suggested course of action ... these normally don't have answers that are very predictable because there are many possible ways to strengthen/weaken the argument (many different assumptions being made).
So you should never really think to yourself, "I missed the assumption." Most LSAT arguments have many, if not infinite, assumptions.
(The one exception to this is Sufficient Assumption and Principle-Justify. These two very similar question types are almost always testing one missing link.)
When you're doing Flaw/Nec Assump/Str/Weak, read the argument for missing logical links, but also open your mind up to the world of Potential Objections and Alternative Explanations.
The story this author is selling us on is this:
- we see a volcanic boulder, but nothing else around here is volcanic. How the heck did it get here? Why is it here?
- well, during the last ice age, a glacier north of here moved southward and covered this region. Maybe the volcanic boulder hitched a ride on the glacier and got dumped here. In other words, the volcanic boulder was born hundreds of miles to the north, and then the southward-moving glacier brought it down to this area and dumped it here.
I wouldn't have any specific prediction of what the correct answer is going to say/do, but what I would do is continually remind myself of the "anti-conclusion".
In order to weaken this argument, I want to be able to argue that this boulder "was probably NOT deposited here hundreds of miles from its geological birthplace, by a glacier."
Maybe the correct answer will help me argue that this boulder was NOT born hundreds of miles from here. Maybe the correct answer will help me argue that a southward-moving glacier was not the thing to deposit it here. Either one of those ideas would attack the validity of the conclusion.
(A) definitely weakens the argument somewhat. This is saying "your story doesn't apply in the case of most boulders. You think that a glacier moved this boulder hundreds of miles, but most of the time glaciers move a boulder it's 100 miles tops." Keep it.
(B) doesn't matter. The author isn't arguing that this volcanic boulder came from the closest source of volcanic rock. He's arguing that this boulder started up north and hitched a ride on a southward moving glacier. Eliminate.
(C) same issue as (B). We might say that this slightly weakens the claim that the boulder traveled hundreds of miles, because it's probably more common sense friendly to assume that if a glacier carried this volcanic boulder south that it did so from a closer distance. Maybe keep, but with a lot of hesitation.
(D) Game-changer. The author's story just crumbled. There is no way that this volcanic boulder was born in the north and hitched a ride south. There are NO sources of volcanic rock to the north. This is WAY stronger and thus more weakening than (A). Keep it and eliminate (A) and (C).
(E) If we thought that (C) mildly weakened by pointing out that "there are closer sources of volcanic boulders to the north than HUNDREDS of miles away" then this would mildly strengthen for the same reason.
Hope this helps.
#officialexplanation