by ohthatpatrick Sun Nov 29, 2015 7:45 pm
Your edit makes a lot of sense, although the other thing missing, structurally, from (A) is a conditional statement.
You expressed it as "if spy, then traitor". Is that first sentence conditional? It sounds like a statement of fact to me.
The spy is a traitor.
When we say "The US president is Barack Obama", we COULD say "if you're the US President, then you're Barack Obama", but that's sort of pointlessly forcing a conditional on a straight-up fact.
==== COMPLETE EXPLANATION ====
Question type: Match the Reasoning
Argument Core:
conclusion
There has never been life on the Moon
evidence
If there had been life, there would be signs of life there.
But in the numerous times we've been there, we've seen no signs.
ANALYSIS
There are two premises:
1. conditional ... if A were true --> B would be true
2. statement of fact (evidence so far does not indicate B)
Conclusion is certain:
A is false.
== answer choices ==
(A) Close enough to keep on first pass, although there is no conditional.
(B) 2nd ingredient isn't quite right, should be "what we've learned so far indicates that there's mayo in the fridge". Conclusion needs to be certain. This is just "unlikely". Eliminate.
(C) Multiple problems but easiest to spot quickly is that conclusion is not certain, so ditch it.
(D) It does start with a conditional, "If A is true, then ... "
But it concludes that A is true. The original concluded that A is false.
(E) Starts with a conditional. 2nd premise says that existing evidence does not indicate B. Concludes that A is false.
DOWN TO 2
(A) and (E) are the closest.
The concern with (E) is that the original conditional was
A --> B
whereas the one in (E) is
A ---> B or C
But the concern with (A) is that it doesn't even have a conditional.
The other difference relates to the 2nd premise. In the original argument, we're saying "we've been the Moon numerous times ... we've collected data ... and we still haven't found evidence of B".
(E) also has "we've collected data ... and we still haven't found evidence of B."
(A) doesn't indicate that we have possession of any data about the general.
The original argument and (E) are actually more reasonable arguments than (A) is. All three are flawed in the sense that their conclusions are overly certain.
But at least with the original and with (E), we're going off some data. With (A), we're going off total ignorance.
Thus, (E) is a stronger match and the correct answer.